PRED — PREDICTION
Definition: A testable claim about future observations.
Epistemological Role
- Forward-looking: Says what will be observed
- Testable: Can be checked when data arrives
- Risky: Could be wrong (not retroactive explanation)
Test for Prediction Status
“Is this a claim about observations not yet made?”
- If YES → Prediction
- If it’s about past data → Evidence
- If it’s abstract → Theorem
Count
3 Predictions in the full spine
The Predictions
| ID | Name | Predicts | Testable By |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRED14.1 | H0 Tension Resolution | χ-dependent dark energy resolves Hubble tension | Future cosmological surveys |
| PRED18.1 | H0 Prediction 2025-2030 | Specific H0 value range | JWST, Euclid data |
| PRED18.2 | GCP Event Prediction | Collective Φ-events detectable | Future global events |
Full List
See: PRED - Predictions
Risk Level
| Prediction | Risk | If Wrong → |
|---|---|---|
| H0 Resolution | High | χ-cosmology hypothesis fails |
| H0 Value | Very High | Specific numerical claim falsified |
| GCP Events | Medium | Φ-effects weaker than claimed |
Why Predictions Matter
Predictions are how science advances. A theory that only explains past data (postdiction) is weaker than one that predicts new data.
Theophysics makes risky predictions — this is a feature, not a bug.
Predictions put the theory on the line. We’re betting on specific outcomes.